Trial by Error: Retired PACE Investigator Peter White and Swiss Re

By David Tuller, DrPH

On November 17, 2015, a few weeks after publication of my 15,000-word investigation of the PACE trial, I posted a blog about a talk Peter White gave to Swiss Re employees on the findings from his bogus study. Professor White, of course, was the lead PACE investigator and also served–and apparently still serves–as chief medical officer for the insurance company.

Swiss Re has released information about its 2017 insurance medicine summit, to be held this coming November. Not surprisingly, Professor White is on the schedule. Although he has retired from his academic position, he apparently continues his work promoting his egregious research to insurers. His talk is called Burn out, vital exhaustion and chronic fatigue syndrome: Old wine in new bottles? Presumably he will once more be discussing the false PACE trial results and perhaps the campaign of harassment that he claims angry patients have waged against him.

It cannot be repeated often enough that the tribunal decision from last summer, which ordered the release of the raw trial data, dismissed the claims of harassment as baseless. The tribunal found that the only credible evidence of such behavior was that Professor Trudie Chalder was once heckled during a lecture. However, the tribunal’s scathing decision hasn’t prevented these dishonest researchers from continuing their disinformation campaign against the patient community.

Given Professor White’s ongoing role with the Swiss Re, I decided to repost the 2015 blog below. Shortly after I initially posted the blog, the insurance company removed from its website the article touting Professor White’s presentation. Therefore, in this version, I am linking instead to a screen-shot of the “disappeared” page. (Thanks, Anil van der Zee!)

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Trial by Error, Continued: PACE Team’s Work for Insurance Companies Is Not Related to PACE. Really?

By David Tuller, DrPH

In my initial story on Virology Blog, I charged the PACE investigators with violating the Declaration of Helsinki, developed in the 1950s by the World Medical Association to protect human research subjects. The declaration mandates that scientists disclose institutional affiliations and any possible conflicts of interest to prospective trial participants as part of the process of obtaining informed consent.

The investigators promised in their protocol to adhere to this foundational human rights document, among other ethical codes. Despite this promise, they did not tell prospective participants about their financial and consulting links with insurance companies, including those in the disability sector. That ethical breach raises serious concerns about whether the informed consent they obtained from all 641 of their trial participants was truly informed, and therefore legitimate.

The PACE investigators do not agree that the lack of disclosure is an ethical breach. In their response to my Virology Blog story, they did not even mention the Declaration of Helsinki or explain why they violated it in seeking informed consent. Instead, they defended their actions by noting that they had disclosed their financial and consulting links in the published articles, and had informed participants about who funded the research€“responses that did not address the central concern.

I find their statement that they disclosed to The Lancet but not to potential subjects bemusing, said Jon Merz, a professor of medical ethics at the University of Pennsylvania. The issue is coming clean to all who would rely on their objectivity and fairness in conducting their science. Disclosure is the least we require of scientists, as it puts those who should be able to trust them on notice that they may be serving two masters.

In their Virology Blog response, the PACE team also stated that no insurance companies were involved in the research, that only three of the 19 investigators have done consultancy work at various times for insurance companies, and that this work was not related to the research. The first statement was true, but direct involvement in a study is of course only one possible form of conflict of interest. The second statement was false. According to the PACE team’s conflict of interest disclosures in The Lancet, the actual number of researchers with insurance industry ties was four, along with the three principal investigators, physiotherapist Jessica Bavington acknowledged such links.

But here, I’ll focus on the third claim€“that their consulting work was not related to the research. In particular, I’ll examine an online article posted by Swiss Re, a large reinsurance company. The article describes a web-based discussion group held with Peter White, the lead PACE investigator, and reveals some of the claims-assessing recommendations arising from that presentation. White included consulting work with Swiss Re in his Lancet disclosure.

The Lancet published the PACE results in February, 2011; the undated Swiss Re article was published sometime within the following year or so. The headline: Managing claims for chronic fatigue the active way. (Note that this headline uses chronic fatigue rather than chronic fatigue syndrome, although chronic fatigue is a symptom common to many illnesses and is quite distinct from the disease known as chronic fatigue syndrome. Understanding the difference between the two would likely be helpful in making decisions about insurance claims.)

The Swiss Re article noted that the illness can be an emotive subject and then focused on the implications of the PACE study for assessing insurance claims. It started with a summary account of the findings from the study, reporting that the active rehabilitation arms of cognitive behavioral therapy and graded exercise therapy resulted in greater reduction of patients’ fatigue and larger improvement in physical functioning than either adaptive pacing therapy or specialist medical care, the baseline condition. (The three intervention arms also received specialist medical care.)

The trial’s key message, declared the article, was that pushing the limits in a therapeutic setting using well described treatment modalities is more effective in alleviating fatigue and dysfunction than staying within the limits imposed by the illness traditionally advocated by ‘pacing.’

Added the article: If a CFS patient does not gradually increase their activity, supported by an appropriate therapist, then their recovery will be slower. This seems a simple message but it is an important one as many believe that ‘pacing’ is the most beneficial treatment.

This understanding of the PACE research, presumably based on information from Peter White’s web-based discussion, was wrong. Pacing is not and has never been a treatment. It is also not one of the four most commonly used therapies, as the newsletter article declared, since it has never been a therapy either. It is a self-help method practiced by many patients seeking the best way to manage their limited energy reserves.

The PACE investigators did not test pacing. Instead, the intervention they dubbed adaptive pacing therapy was an operationalized version of pacing developed specifically for the study. Many patients objected to the trial’s form of pacing as overly prescriptive, demanding and unlike the version they practiced on their own. Transforming an intuitive, self-directed approach into a treatment administered by a therapist was not a true test of whether the self-help approach is effective, they argued€“with significant justification. Yet the Swiss Re article presented adaptive pacing therapy as if it were identical to pacing.

The Swiss Re article did not mention that the reported improvements from active rehabilitation were based on subjective outcomes and were not supported by the study’s objective data. Nor did it report any of the major flaws of the PACE study or offer any reasons to doubt the integrity of the findings.

The article next asked, What can insurers and reinsurers do to assist the recovery and return to work of CFS claimants? It then described the conclusions to be drawn from the discussion with White about the PACE trial, the key takeaways for claims management.

First, Swiss Re advised its employees, question the diagnosis, because misdiagnosis is not uncommon.

The second point was this: It is likely that input will be required to change a claimant’s beliefs about his or her condition and the effectiveness of active rehabilitation€¦Funding for these CFS treatments is not expensive (in the UK, around £2,000) so insurers may well want to consider funding this for the right claimants.

Translation: Patients who believe they have a medical disease are wrong, and they need to be persuaded that they are wrong and that they can get better with therapy. Insurers can avoid large payouts by covering the minimal costs of these treatments for patients vulnerable to such persuasion, given the right input.

Finally, the article warned that private therapists might not provide the kinds of input required to convince patients they were wrong. Instead of appropriately active approaches like cognitive behavior therapy and graded exercise therapy, these therapists might instead pursue treatments that could reinforce claimants’ misguided beliefs about being seriously ill, the article suggested.

Check that private practitioners are delivering active rehabilitation therapies, such as those described in this article, as opposed to sick role adaptation, the Swiss RE article advised. (The PACE investigators, drawing on the concept known as the sick role in medical sociology, have long expressed concern that advocacy groups enabled patients’ condition by bolstering their conviction that they suffered from a medical disease, as Michael Sharpe, another key PACE investigator, noted in a 2002 UNUMProvident report. This conviction encouraged patients to demand social benefits and health care resources rather than focus on improving through therapy, Sharpe wrote.)

Lastly, the Swiss Re article addressed a final point specific to claims assessment. A diagnosis of chronic fatigue syndrome, stated the article, provided an opportunity in some cases to apply a mental health exclusion, depending upon the wording of the policy. In contrast, a diagnosis of myalgic encephalomyelitis did not.

The World Health Organization’s International Classification for Diseases, or ICD, which clinicians and insurance companies use for coding purposes, categorizes myalgic encephalomyelitis as a neurological disorder that is synonymous with the terms post-viral fatigue syndrome and chronic fatigue syndrome. But the Swiss Re article stated that, according to the ICD, chronic fatigue syndrome can also alternatively be defined as neurasthenia which is in the mental health chapter.

The PACE investigators have repeatedly advanced this questionable idea. In the ICD’s mental health section, neurasthenia is defined as a mental disorder characterized by chronic fatigue and concomitant physiologic symptoms, but there is no mention of chronic fatigue syndrome as a discrete entity. The PACE investigators (and Swiss Re newsletter writers) believe that the neurasthenia entry encompasses the illness known as chronic fatigue syndrome, not just the common symptom of chronic fatigue.

This interpretation, however, appears to be at odds with an ICD rule that illnesses cannot be listed in two separate places, a rule confirmed in an e-mail from a WHO official to an advocate who had questioned the PACE investigators’ argument. It is not permitted for the same condition to be classified to more than one rubric as this would mean that the individual categories and subcategories were no longer mutually exclusive, wrote the official to Margaret Weston, the pseudonym for a longtime clinical manager in the U.K. National Health Service.

Presumably, after White disseminated the good news about the PACE results at the web-based discussion, Swiss Re’s claims managers felt better equipped to help ME/CFS claimants. And presumably that help included coverage for cognitive behavior therapy and graded exercise therapy so that claimants could receive the critical input they needed in order to recognize and accept that they didn’t have a medical disease after all.

In sum, contrary to the investigators’ argument in their response to Virology Blog, the PACE research and findings appear to be very much related to insurance industry consulting work. The claim that these relationships did not represent possible conflicts of interest and institutional affiliations requiring disclosure under the Declaration of Helsinki cannot be taken seriously.

Update 11/17/15 12:22 PM: I should have mentioned in the story that, in the PACE trial, participants in the cognitive behavior therapy and graded exercise therapy arms were no more likely to have increased their hours of employment than those in the other arms. In other words, there was no evidence for the claims presented in the Swiss Re article, based on Peter White’s presentation, that these treatments were any more effective in getting people back to work.

The PACE investigators published this employment data in a 2012 paper in PLoS One. It is unclear whether Peter White already knew these results at the time of his Swiss Re presentation on the PACE results.

Update 11/18/15 6:54 AM: I also forgot to mention in the story that the three principal PACE investigators did not respond to an e-mail seeking comment about their insurance industry work. Lancet editor Richard Horton also did not respond to an e-mail seeking comment.

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